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T. Boone Pickens Thinks We’re Stupid


T. Boone Pickens is playing on the public’s ignorance with his TV commercial showcasing his wind power plans.  He says that the current price of oil will lead to the greatest wealth transfer in human history and, to avoid this, we must get off of foreign oil. His wind power plans will apparently help us do this.
 
While wind power is a good bet for the future, T. Boone’s argument is cynical.

 

It’s not just foreign oil producing nations that are gaining by the high price of oil, it’s also American oil firms (Exxon/Mobil, et. al., not to mention non-American firms) whose profits are higher than ever before in history and are driving up the cost of production to non-energy firms (look at the ravaging effects of oil prices on the airline industry, who blame speculation for the price of oil). The wealth transfer that T. Boone speaks of is, in good measure, from our economy as a whole to our own energy sector in particular, not merely to oil producing countries.
 

So it may be oil dependence in general we must reduce, not necessarily foreign oil. American oil firms have had no more mercy on the American economy than oil producing nations have.

 

T. Boone wants to make a profit on wind power. This is no sin, of course, but he’s billing his billion-plus dollar initiative as an altruistic effort to reduce our dependence on foreign oil using “American technology.” This is supposed to engage our patriotism? He is playing to our ignorance like our political candidates do.

 

Let’s be honest. There is no likelihood of reducing our dependence on oil for the foreseeable future. Every single American president since Nixon has announced a plan to reduce our dependence on foreign oil and none has ever made even a tiny dent in our oil imports. In fact, the last 40 years of experience reflects the very opposite of the stated intentions of our presidents. Oil imports as a percentage of our total oil consumption has risen over the years.

 

President Bush, of course, has made the issue of foreign oil dependence a highlight of his state of the Union Addresses, but they strain believability. Here are two recent ones: 2006 and 2007, where he pledged to reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Do we believe Bush? Oil politics has been at the very center of the Bush administration. Unless his rhetoric for reducing our dependence on foreign oil is but code language for wanting to distribute more domestic oil producing rights to some big oil players, then his words are senseless.
 

Let’s remember that our own oil firms have become increasingly entangled with oil producing nations. They are so entangled in foreign oil exploration, drilling and shipping that they are, for all intents and purposes, indistinguishable from foreign oil. So what does it actually mean to be free of foreign oil anyway?

 

It’s no sin, of course, to have multinational firms with entangling alliances overseas, but these complex relationships contrast mightily with the simplistic rhetoric that T. Boone and our leaders routinely offer us.

 

Oil is simply too integrated into our economy for us to do anything about it for the near and medium term. Major oil companies would benefit from domestic drilling and production as much as from foreign, so they’d gain no matter where the oil comes from. The major problem with oil, then, is the price—whether it is produced domestically or overseas.

 

T. Boone should tell us how to reduce the price of oil. If he did, of course, he might just say what is currently being said on the matter—that demand for oil has outstripped supply and that’s why the price is high; to reduce the price, we need to drill more at home to drive prices down. But that’s a phony argument for another blog post.
 
 
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Let Them Eat Cake Means Off With Their Heads


Does John McCain actually want to get elected?

 

As I listen to him and, in particular, his advisor Phil Graham, talk about the economy, I’m not sure McCain really wants the White House because he’s handing Obama everything he needs to win, at least when it comes to the economy.

 

Republicans are relying on ancient economic rhetoric to communicate old nostrums about markets and big government as their “response” to the economic problems we face, but they are sounding irrelevant and thoughtless. Nothing they say seems to address actual problems in the economy.

 

Graham’s recent “insight” that we have a “mental recession” and are a “nation of whiners” is just the point. He cites a 1% growth figure to back up his view, as if 1% is something to be proud of. He mentions nothing of oil, nor of the rising unemployment rate along with rising prices (a stagflationary situation) and yet this man has a Ph.D. in economics! I suppose the price of oil is all in our heads.

 

The only allowable policy response to the economic problems at hand on the republican side seems to be to cut taxes. Will that address the problem of soaring oil prices and the innumerable consequences they’re having on the economy? The drumbeat of McCain supporters are just pointing to old hat ideas, regardless of whether they address the actual problems we face. They cannot think creatively about our problems because they are wedded to ideological nostrums. Much of this rhetoric boils down to the idea that the way to handle matters is for the government to get out of the economy, as if government interference was the cause of the real estate bubble bursting and high oil prices (though, maybe the US Government has played a role in high oil prices if we think of the effect on prices of US policy in the Middle East). This line seems to say that when the economy is in or near a recession the government should just do nothing. Why? Because the economy is self-regulating and a recession will correct itself.  

 

The stop whining message is no different than that famous retort “let them eat cake,” attributed to Marie Antoinette before she lost her head. It also says that our would-be leaders are out of touch with what people are experiencing, which reminds me of President Bush back in February who, after hearing that gas prices might climb to $4.00 a gallon, responded "Oh, yeah? That's interesting. I hadn't heard that." How could he not have known this? It must be that he is so insulated and well fed himself that he doesn’t really care. Or maybe he likes high oil prices, given how close he is to oil interests.

 

That the government should do nothing in response to our economic problems was perfect economic advice for Herbert Hoover, at least from FDR’s point of view. Conservative rhetoric on the economy has not changed one bit in a hundred years. This rhetoric might sound okay when times are good and pundits on cable TV tell us about a rising stock market, but it sounds like illiterate and thoughtless nonsense when times are bad. McCain and his supporters sound like Hoover’s advisors, whose hardened, ideological “truths” about the economy probably made the depression worse and opened the door to a revolutionary change in politics. It was off with their heads, and they had asked for it.

 

It’s true that a recession will sooner or later fix itself, but how long does that take (think in terms of years rather than months here) and why is it acceptable to let the standard of living of the public fall if something could be done to correct the situation? Why should voters tolerate that? Of course, they won’t tolerate it and they’ll communicate that at the polls. It would be quite the feat anyway for an incumbent party to win the White House in hard economic times. A cursory look at our electoral history will tell you that.

 

Is this what McCain and his supports are trying to say—that we should just stop whining and let the economy fix itself? If so, then McCain might just as well hand the victory to Obama because he could not possibly win with such irrelevant and thoughtless nonsense on the economy. Maybe McCain should get rid of Phil Graham and take some advice from an economist who actually understands how the economy works and use that information to produce a convincing vision on the economy.

 

The other plank to McCain’s economic plan is a tax cut. It’s probably an open secret among economists that tax cuts along lines of the Bush tax cuts will likely do very little for economic growth, yet McCain seems to be hanging his hat on this. While it is nice to have a bit more disposable income, the Bush tax cuts were sold to the public on a phony economic argument. The idea was simply that income tax cuts, though heavily favoring the rich, will stimulate investment and grow jobs.

 

The phony part of this reasoning is that income tax cuts, which increase disposable income, have no relationship at all to investment, which is mainly influenced through the interest rate. The conspicuous variable that would be influenced by income tax cuts is consumption. Given that the rich already consume at peak levels, however, a tax break for them would not do much to stimulate the economy through consumption either. Maybe a special tax break, such as an investment tax credit, would stimulate investment, but the idea that investment will grow because of an income tax cut to the rich is total fiction.  If the Bush tax cuts did stimulate growth, then why are we now looking at barely 1% growth? Where did all that stimulation go? Why did Bush feel compelled to offer the public a stimulus check from the Treasury? And why was there a need to extend unemployment benefits?

 
So, what’s McCain’s economic message? Let them eat cake? Follow the logic of the Bush tax cuts and tell the public they’ll grow investment, say nothing about oil, and portray complaints of hard times as whining? If this is McCain’s message, then the voters will likely respond with “off with their heads.”
 
 
  
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