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Is Barack Differently Abled?

Why is it politically incorrect to criticize Obama?

 I wonder because the major criticisms I‘ve heard so far are as mild as Asiago cheese—not my favorite.

Obama is inexperienced, we’ve heard. I believe the politically correct term is deferred excellence, actually. He’ll get the requisite experience later. Don’t worry. And don’t criticize too much, or it’ll appear too low road.

What? McCain should be hammering Obama into the pavement. Obama is a little upstart who got to the Senate on easy terms and who has done all but nothing while there.  How can he be beating McCain? Is it all just a matter of the camera?

I’ve also heard that criticism of Obama due to his apparent arrogance should be off limits because it could be troublesome among African Americans. They might see this as being a form of cloaked racism—if you say he’s arrogant, then you might be trying to send the message that he’s uppity—a bad word among African Americans.

Why so? The man actually had his own presidential seal (as an unremarkable senator!!!). He wrote two books about himself, and yet he’s accomplished nothing! He thought it okay to take a whirlwind tour of the planet to convince us that he’s presidential enough, while taking the risk that his high-ideal rhetoric might just look a little ridiculous. Obama shamelessly wrapped himself in the robes of all those who came before him (most obviously, the pilots of the Berlin Airlift and Kennedy) in Berlin. Is this not transparent enough for the public?

While his voice is deep, he did remind me a bit of Pee Wee Herman while in Berlin. He’s tall and as thin as a beanpole, with an awkward round head—perhaps as physically paltry as his qualifications for the White House. What a gift it would be to McCain if Obama actually sounded like Pee Wee Herman!

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Blaming Obama for High Gas Prices?

 

This can’t be good propaganda for John McCain.  Who came up with this one anyway, Phil Graham? Obama’s best response, of course, would be simply to giggle because that’s the sort of response the claim evokes in people. This is just another drop the McCain camp is putting into Obama’s bucket.

 

The claim that Obama is responsible for high gas prices also makes McCain look inept and a bit out of sorts. It even makes him sound a little crazy.

 

The ad, of course, tries to link the no drilling in America position with Obama, with the idea being that the lack of drilling (or supply) is the cause of high oil and gas prices. And given that Obama will take the no drilling position, he must be responsible for high gas prices.

 

This isn’t terribly effective. Aside from the fact that Obama can defeat this ad by giggling at it, the idea that drilling for oil in US territory is going to solve the gas problem presents another problem for McCain—that of cynicism. Does anyone believe that drilling for oil in the US will lower gas prices any time soon, or even at all? All Obama need do is show this ad as proof that McCain is but a continuation of the Bush Administration. Will this help McCain? How about McCain offering a cogent explanation for high gas prices, one that doesn’t play to our ignorance? Dare he?

 

I think McCain needs a new propaganda strategy—one that features a louder and more vigorous McCain who can hit a home run or two with issues and public appearances, instead of the slightly stiff-looking guy with a grandfatherly monotone who doesn’t seem to be in control over the information coming out of his campaign. A little hair dye might help as well.

 

The success of Obama’s propaganda strategy is without question. We can build all the criticisms we want about Obama and be correct, but none of that helps McCain or injures Obama’s prospects. Obama’s call for a 16 month time table for withdrawal from Iraq is a case in point. Whether one sees this as insight or opportunism by Obama (read this recent point of view), it was an enormous coup for Obama to have had the Iraqi PM essentially agreeing with him, and Obama’s words on Iraq are in line with the overall public mood. This puts McCain in a real position of weakness on Iraq, even if McCain is right that the earlier surge prepared the way for today’s positive picture in Iraq. No matter with the public.
 
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T. Boone Pickens Thinks We’re Stupid


T. Boone Pickens is playing on the public’s ignorance with his TV commercial showcasing his wind power plans.  He says that the current price of oil will lead to the greatest wealth transfer in human history and, to avoid this, we must get off of foreign oil. His wind power plans will apparently help us do this.
 
While wind power is a good bet for the future, T. Boone’s argument is cynical.

 

It’s not just foreign oil producing nations that are gaining by the high price of oil, it’s also American oil firms (Exxon/Mobil, et. al., not to mention non-American firms) whose profits are higher than ever before in history and are driving up the cost of production to non-energy firms (look at the ravaging effects of oil prices on the airline industry, who blame speculation for the price of oil). The wealth transfer that T. Boone speaks of is, in good measure, from our economy as a whole to our own energy sector in particular, not merely to oil producing countries.
 

So it may be oil dependence in general we must reduce, not necessarily foreign oil. American oil firms have had no more mercy on the American economy than oil producing nations have.

 

T. Boone wants to make a profit on wind power. This is no sin, of course, but he’s billing his billion-plus dollar initiative as an altruistic effort to reduce our dependence on foreign oil using “American technology.” This is supposed to engage our patriotism? He is playing to our ignorance like our political candidates do.

 

Let’s be honest. There is no likelihood of reducing our dependence on oil for the foreseeable future. Every single American president since Nixon has announced a plan to reduce our dependence on foreign oil and none has ever made even a tiny dent in our oil imports. In fact, the last 40 years of experience reflects the very opposite of the stated intentions of our presidents. Oil imports as a percentage of our total oil consumption has risen over the years.

 

President Bush, of course, has made the issue of foreign oil dependence a highlight of his state of the Union Addresses, but they strain believability. Here are two recent ones: 2006 and 2007, where he pledged to reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Do we believe Bush? Oil politics has been at the very center of the Bush administration. Unless his rhetoric for reducing our dependence on foreign oil is but code language for wanting to distribute more domestic oil producing rights to some big oil players, then his words are senseless.
 

Let’s remember that our own oil firms have become increasingly entangled with oil producing nations. They are so entangled in foreign oil exploration, drilling and shipping that they are, for all intents and purposes, indistinguishable from foreign oil. So what does it actually mean to be free of foreign oil anyway?

 

It’s no sin, of course, to have multinational firms with entangling alliances overseas, but these complex relationships contrast mightily with the simplistic rhetoric that T. Boone and our leaders routinely offer us.

 

Oil is simply too integrated into our economy for us to do anything about it for the near and medium term. Major oil companies would benefit from domestic drilling and production as much as from foreign, so they’d gain no matter where the oil comes from. The major problem with oil, then, is the price—whether it is produced domestically or overseas.

 

T. Boone should tell us how to reduce the price of oil. If he did, of course, he might just say what is currently being said on the matter—that demand for oil has outstripped supply and that’s why the price is high; to reduce the price, we need to drill more at home to drive prices down. But that’s a phony argument for another blog post.
 
 
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McCain and Obama Search for Identity


It isn’t entirely surprising to see candidates searching for leadership models during a campaign. Wrapping themselves in the suits of armor of esteemed leaders of the past is a way to claim ownership over a tradition that has some resonance with the public and to re-stoke old loyalties in the hope that they’ll transfer to the would-be progeny.

Attempting to appropriate the image and persona of past leaders may also hide chinks in a candidate’s own armor. A little borrowed charisma goes a long way. But the practice is also a shorthand way to distinguish oneself from an opponent and to communicate a style and possibly a policy direction.
 
Machiavelli, in his great work The Prince, tells the leaders of his day to emulate the great leaders of the past, especially if they lacked adequate amounts of their own greatness. He called it virtu (rough modern translation: capability in matters relating to statecraft and war) and thought modern leaders could learn to be capable by following the great examples of the past.

Machiavelli distinguished the man of virtu from the man who acquired his position through fortune or luck. The man of virtu was one who acquired his position as a leader through his own skill and retained his position accordingly. The man of fortune was dependent on others for his position. He thought Cesar Borgia, for example, acquired his position through the fortune of his father (Pope Alexander VI) and lost it the same way. When the Pope died, Cesar was out or luck and lacked the inherent capability to retain control over the state he ruled. Had it not been for the skill or virtu of his father, young Cesar never would have climbed to such heights.

This example of leadership by fortune might be applied to several current luminaries on the political scene. Might it apply to President Bush? But not for the political skill of his father, . . ., well, you know the rest. What about Hillary Clinton? If not for the skill of her husband in becoming president and remaining so for 8 years, she never would have had the platform to become a senator and the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party (a status she had acquired years before the actual election period had ever approached). It just so happens that another person came along, perhaps one with significantly more virtu than she, who took that position away from her. Her husband was no longer president, of course, and while he supported her, she had to sink or swim on her own. Did Hillary Clinton obtain her position though the fortune of her husband and loose it the same way like Cesar Borgia?

But what of Obama and McCain? Who are their models? They too are scrambling around for models of past leaders who had capability and skill.

There was early talk of how Obama was like John F. Kennedy. Obama is young, seemingly different, cerebral and inspiring to young people. This identification was aided by Caroline Kennedy’s assertion that she was inspired by Obama in the way people were once inspired by her father. The Kennedy image is apparently cultivated by Obama, but 
“channeling Kennedy” is a long-standing democratic tradition. Bill Clinton was a known practitioner of this art as well. Given how popular the JFK image is to current candidates, I suppose this means that JFK stands as the democratic leader with the most political virtu by far. It might seem peculiar and out of place if Obama tried to take on the mantle of FDR, for example, though it might be strangely appropriate in light of our current economic problems. JFK seems right on the money. He was an exciting guy, young, modern and unencumbered by old ideas. It’s not clear if Obama’s JFK-appeal implies a policy direction, though Obama has been doing a fine job retaining his JFK-appeal.
 
McCain, in contrast, is opting for the Teddy Roosevelt armor. He has done so to defend his conservative credentials while simultaneously distinguishing himself from other conservatives, such as President Bush and Ronald Regan. Reagan had become the much desired clothing for republican contenders like Huckabee and Romney early-on in the republican primaries. McCain, unable to appeal to the most conservative wing of the Republican Party, has effected a creative turn by invoking the image of Teddy Roosevelt, who was a trust buster and a practitioner of realpolitik. Does McCain mean to say he is going to walk softly and carry a big stick? Perhaps he’s trying to say that he’ll hammer away at the oil industry, like the Trust Buster once did to Standard Oil, while handling the problem in Iraq with skill and insight. McCain is a bit late out of the gate with his new-found identity, but it offers image possibilities that could help him fight off the association with Bush policies, which his adversaries have clearly argued.
 
Oddly, Bill Clinton invoked the image of Teddy Roosevelt during a speech in Philadelphia on Saturday. He closed his speech by saying that our problems today—inequality of wealth, immigration and energy—are much like those in the days of Roosevelt. If we face them, he said, then we’re in for an exciting time in history. Otherwise, he said quoting Roosevelt, we face a dark future.
 
Is Clinton trying to fit Obama with Teddy Roosevelt’s suit, odd tailoring for a democrat, or is he just thinking out loud? A poor fitting suit from a leader of the past is likely when that suit crosses party lines. Remember how poor Dan Quayle walked right into Lloyd Benson’s tremendous quip, and Quayle probably wasn’t really trying to wear JFK’s suit at all. He just dared to invoke the name of Kennedy from the wrong side of the aisle.
 
 
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Let Them Eat Cake Means Off With Their Heads


Does John McCain actually want to get elected?

 

As I listen to him and, in particular, his advisor Phil Graham, talk about the economy, I’m not sure McCain really wants the White House because he’s handing Obama everything he needs to win, at least when it comes to the economy.

 

Republicans are relying on ancient economic rhetoric to communicate old nostrums about markets and big government as their “response” to the economic problems we face, but they are sounding irrelevant and thoughtless. Nothing they say seems to address actual problems in the economy.

 

Graham’s recent “insight” that we have a “mental recession” and are a “nation of whiners” is just the point. He cites a 1% growth figure to back up his view, as if 1% is something to be proud of. He mentions nothing of oil, nor of the rising unemployment rate along with rising prices (a stagflationary situation) and yet this man has a Ph.D. in economics! I suppose the price of oil is all in our heads.

 

The only allowable policy response to the economic problems at hand on the republican side seems to be to cut taxes. Will that address the problem of soaring oil prices and the innumerable consequences they’re having on the economy? The drumbeat of McCain supporters are just pointing to old hat ideas, regardless of whether they address the actual problems we face. They cannot think creatively about our problems because they are wedded to ideological nostrums. Much of this rhetoric boils down to the idea that the way to handle matters is for the government to get out of the economy, as if government interference was the cause of the real estate bubble bursting and high oil prices (though, maybe the US Government has played a role in high oil prices if we think of the effect on prices of US policy in the Middle East). This line seems to say that when the economy is in or near a recession the government should just do nothing. Why? Because the economy is self-regulating and a recession will correct itself.  

 

The stop whining message is no different than that famous retort “let them eat cake,” attributed to Marie Antoinette before she lost her head. It also says that our would-be leaders are out of touch with what people are experiencing, which reminds me of President Bush back in February who, after hearing that gas prices might climb to $4.00 a gallon, responded "Oh, yeah? That's interesting. I hadn't heard that." How could he not have known this? It must be that he is so insulated and well fed himself that he doesn’t really care. Or maybe he likes high oil prices, given how close he is to oil interests.

 

That the government should do nothing in response to our economic problems was perfect economic advice for Herbert Hoover, at least from FDR’s point of view. Conservative rhetoric on the economy has not changed one bit in a hundred years. This rhetoric might sound okay when times are good and pundits on cable TV tell us about a rising stock market, but it sounds like illiterate and thoughtless nonsense when times are bad. McCain and his supporters sound like Hoover’s advisors, whose hardened, ideological “truths” about the economy probably made the depression worse and opened the door to a revolutionary change in politics. It was off with their heads, and they had asked for it.

 

It’s true that a recession will sooner or later fix itself, but how long does that take (think in terms of years rather than months here) and why is it acceptable to let the standard of living of the public fall if something could be done to correct the situation? Why should voters tolerate that? Of course, they won’t tolerate it and they’ll communicate that at the polls. It would be quite the feat anyway for an incumbent party to win the White House in hard economic times. A cursory look at our electoral history will tell you that.

 

Is this what McCain and his supports are trying to say—that we should just stop whining and let the economy fix itself? If so, then McCain might just as well hand the victory to Obama because he could not possibly win with such irrelevant and thoughtless nonsense on the economy. Maybe McCain should get rid of Phil Graham and take some advice from an economist who actually understands how the economy works and use that information to produce a convincing vision on the economy.

 

The other plank to McCain’s economic plan is a tax cut. It’s probably an open secret among economists that tax cuts along lines of the Bush tax cuts will likely do very little for economic growth, yet McCain seems to be hanging his hat on this. While it is nice to have a bit more disposable income, the Bush tax cuts were sold to the public on a phony economic argument. The idea was simply that income tax cuts, though heavily favoring the rich, will stimulate investment and grow jobs.

 

The phony part of this reasoning is that income tax cuts, which increase disposable income, have no relationship at all to investment, which is mainly influenced through the interest rate. The conspicuous variable that would be influenced by income tax cuts is consumption. Given that the rich already consume at peak levels, however, a tax break for them would not do much to stimulate the economy through consumption either. Maybe a special tax break, such as an investment tax credit, would stimulate investment, but the idea that investment will grow because of an income tax cut to the rich is total fiction.  If the Bush tax cuts did stimulate growth, then why are we now looking at barely 1% growth? Where did all that stimulation go? Why did Bush feel compelled to offer the public a stimulus check from the Treasury? And why was there a need to extend unemployment benefits?

 
So, what’s McCain’s economic message? Let them eat cake? Follow the logic of the Bush tax cuts and tell the public they’ll grow investment, say nothing about oil, and portray complaints of hard times as whining? If this is McCain’s message, then the voters will likely respond with “off with their heads.”
 
 
  
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